Friday, 1 May 2015

Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams 2015 UK Election Forecast

Follow: @leightonvw
The 2015 UK Election Forecast, produced by Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams, Director of the Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School, will be updated at least once every day up to and including Election Day, May 7.
Friday, May 1, 10.30am
Conservative 283 (inc. Speaker)
Labour 266
SNP 49
Lib Dem 26
Green 1
Plaid Cymru 3
Sinn Fein 5
Others 2
Total = 650

The 2015 UK Election Forecast uses a weighted combination of a range of variables, including adjusted polling analysis and a number of market-based predictors.

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