92 Labour seats which could fall to UKIP

This table was published on labourlist on Sept 2nd http://labourlist.org/2014/09/the-top-100-ukip-leaning-labour-seats/
The ideal seats for Ukip share key characteristics: they have lots of ‘left behind’ voters who we also know from our research are the most receptive to Ukip and its policies. These ideal seats also have very low numbers of voters who have, instead, tended to remain resistant to Ukip, including university graduates, ethnic minorities and people in professional and economically secure occupations.  This is a useful first exercise in filtering through all seats to find those where – if Ukip stood a strong candidate and knocked on plenty of doors – they would probably find the most voters receptive to their message.

Full article can be found at the link above but Heywood & Middleton was number 93 on the list does it make the other 92 a even easier target for UKIP?

Top 100 most UKIP-friendly Conservative-held seats in the country: <<< link to info

40 TARGET SEATS FOR UKIP  <<< A link you may find useful for more target seats

Seat	Region	Labour Majority (votes)	Labour majority (%)	Ukip Vote 2010	Overall ranking in Revolt on the Right
Rhondda	Wales	11,553	37.2	1.2	2
Blaenau Gwent	Wales	10,516	32.5	1.5	3
Kingston upon Hull East	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,597	25.1	8	4
Easington	North East	14,982	42.9	4.7	5
Knowsley	North West	25,690	57.5	2.5	6
Barnsley East	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,090	28.9	4.5	7
Aberavon	Wales	11,039	35.7	1.6	8
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney	Wales	4,056	12.6	2.7	9
Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,909	26.3	4.3	10
Liverpool, Walton	North West	19,818	57.7	2.6	11
Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,979	23.7	Did not stand	12
Great Grimsby	Yorkshire and the Humber	714	2.2	6.2	13
Ashfield	East Midlands	192	0.4	1.9	14
Bolsover	East Midlands	11,182	25.4	3.9	15
Cynon Valley	Wales	29,876	32.2	3.4	17
Wentworth and Dearne	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,920	33.1	8.1	18
Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	10,990	28.9	2.7	20
Ogmore	Wales	13,246	38.2	2.3	22
Walsall North	West Midlands	990	2.7	4.8	23
Islwyn	Wales	12,215	35.2	2.7	24
Stoke-on-Trent North	West Midlands	8,235	20.5	6.2	25
Washington and Sunderland West	North East	11,458	30.7	3.3	26
Hartlepool	North East	5,509	14.4	7	27
Blackpool South	North West	1,852	5.3	3.8	29
Barnsley Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,771	30	12.2	30
Bishop Auckland	North East	5,218	12.7	2.7	31
Plymouth, Moor View	South West	1,588	3.8	7.7	33
Hemsworth	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,844	22.4	Did not stand	34
Stoke-on-Trent South	West Midlands	4,130	10.4	3.4	35
Bootle	North West	21,181	51.3	6.1	36
Torfaen	Wales	9,306	24.7	2.3	37
Mansfield	East Midlands	6,012	12.4	6.2	38
Workington	North West	4,575	11.7	2.2	39
South Shields*	North East	6,505	25.8	24.2	41
Don Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	3,595	8.3	4.4	43
Neath	Wales	9,775	26.3	2.2	46
Halton	North West	15,504	37.5	3	47
Kingston upon Hull West and Hessle	Yorkshire and the Humber	5,740	18.2	5.4	48
Stockton North	North East	6,676	16.9	3.9	49
Swansea East	Wales	10,838	33.2	2.6	50
Scunthorpe	Yorkshire and the Humber	2,549	6.9	4.6	51
Jarrow	North East	12,908	33.3	Did not stand	52
Liverpool, West Derby	North West	18,467	51.6	3.1	54
North Durham	North East	12,076	29.5	3.3	56
Llanelli	Wales	4,701	12.6	2.8	58
Sedgefield	North East	8,696	21.6	3.7	59
St Helens North	North West	13,101	29.4	4.7	60
St Helens South and Whiston	North West	14,122	30.6	2.7	61
Wigan	North West	10,487	23.8	5.7	63
Blyth Valley	North East	6,668	17.3	4.3	64
Bassetlaw	East Midlands	8,215	16.6	3.6	65
Rotherham*	Yorkshire and the Humber	5,318	24.5	21.8	66
Nottingham North	East Midlands	8,138	23.7	3.9	68
Birkenhead	North West	15,395	43.6	Did not stand	69
Caerphilly	Wales	10,755	27.6	2.4	70
Wansbeck	North East	7,031	18.4	2.5	72
Makerfield	North West	12,490	28.5	Did not stand	75
Clwyd South	Wales	2,834	8.2	2.4	77
Vale of Clwyd	Wales	2,509	7.1	1.4	78
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	North East	1,677	3.6	4.1	79
North West Durham	North East	7,612	17.4	2.9	86
Barrow and Furness	North West	5,208	11.8	1.9	89
North Tyneside	North East	12,884	27.8	2.8	90
Copeland	North West	389	9	2.3	91
Denton and Reddish	North West	9,831	26.1	5.5	93
Gateshead	North East	12,549	32.8	2.9	94
Rother Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	5,866	12.6	5.6	96
Wallasey	North West	8,507	20.4	2.9	97
Chesterfield	East Midlands	549	1.2	3.1	100
North East Derbyshire	East Midlands	2,445	5.2	5.6	103
Garston and Halewood	North West	16,877	39.4	3.6	104
Blaydon	North East	2,277	20.3	Did not stand	105
Dudley North	West Midlands	649	1.7	8.5	106
Delyn	Wales	2,272	6.1	1.8	107
Telford	West Midlands	981	2.4	5.9	108
West Bromwich West	West Midlands	5,651	15.6	4.3	109
Ynys Mon	Wales	2,461	7.1	3.5	113
Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	9,094	23.7	4.4	115
Leigh	North West	12,011	27.1	3.5	116
Middlesbrough	North East	8,211	26	11.8	119
Darlington	North East	3,388	7.9	2.8	120
Alyn and Deeside	Wales	2,919	7.3	2.5	122
Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,505	25.4	4.6	131
Doncaster Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	6,229	14.9	3.4	132
Stoke-on-Trent Central	West Midlands	5,566	17.1	4.3	134
Newport East	Wales	1,650	4.8	2	135
Wolverhampton North East	West Midlands	2484	7.1	3.3	138
Worsley and Eccles South	North West	4337	10.4	4.9	141
Sunderland Central	North East	6725	15.8	2.6	143
Ellesmere Port and Neston	North West	4,331	9.8	3.7	146
Kingston upon Hull North	Yorkshire and the Humber	641	1.9	4.1	147
Heywood and Middleton	North West	5,971	12.9	2.6	148
Sheffield, Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	5,807	14.2	3.7	150
Wrexham	Wales	3658	11.1	2.3	151
Corby*	East Midlands	7,791	21.8	14.3	155
Stalybridge & Hyde	North West	2,744	6.7	3.3	157
Penistone & Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	3,049	6.5	4.2	158
Birmingham Northfield	West Midlands	2,782	6.7		164
Wakefield	Yorkshire and the Humber	1613	3.7	Did not stand	165
* and bold text indicates figures are from by-election results

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