Thursday 30 October 2014

2015 UK Parliamentary Election Forecast (30th OCT)

This report was generated on 30 October 2014 at 13:42. To read commentary on the election using these forecasts, follow Election4castUK on Twitter. If you would like to give us feedback on this forecast, please email us at

Party Lo Seats Hi Swing
Conservatives 236 281 327 -25
Labour 251 297 340 39
Liberal Democrats 13 23 36 -34
SNP 14 24 34 18
Plaid Cymru 1 3 5 0
Greens 0 0 1 -1
UKIP 1 3 7 3
Other 1 1 3 0
Seat-by-seat predictions based on the party predicted to be most likely to win each seat.
The following tables focuses on potential seat gains and losses for each of the parties, including only those seats for which the probability of a change of control is estimated at over 10%. If the table is blank, there are currently no such seats.
Conservatives: Gains Losses
Labour: Gains Losses
Liberal Democrats: Gains Losses
SNP: Gains Losses
Plaid Cymru: Gains Losses
Greens: Gains Losses
UKIP: Gains
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