A CLASS APART

There has been a big differential of voting intentions between the upper and lower class shown in today's YOU GOV polling http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/bq20ecsm1p/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-080713.pdf.

YOU GOV POLLING ABC1 VOTER CON 36% LAB 36% LIBD 14% UKIP 8% GRN 3% SNP/PC 3% C2DE VOTER LAB 45% CON 31% UKIP 14% LIBD 5% GRN 1% SNP/PC 1%
— General Election (@UKELECTIONS2015) July 9, 2013

How this looks thru the electoral calculus

Based on ABC1 voting intention

National Prediction: LAB short 7 of majority

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Pred Seats
CON	36.97%	307	36.00%	18	45	280
LAB	29.66%	258	36.00%	61	0	319
LIB	23.56%	57	14.00%	0	33	24
UKIP	3.17%	0	8.00%	0	0	0
NAT	2.26%	9	2.26%	0	0	9
MIN	0.89%	1	0.89%	0	1	0
OTH	3.48%	0	2.85%	0	0	0

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Based on C2DE voting intention

National Prediction: LAB majority 150

Party	2010 Votes	2010 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Pred Seats
CON	36.97%	307	31.00%	22	111	218
LAB	29.66%	258	45.00%	142	0	400
LIB	23.56%	57	5.00%	0	51	6
UKIP	3.17%	0	14.00%	0	0	0
NAT	2.26%	9	2.26%	1	3	7
MIN	0.89%	1	0.89%	1	1	1
OTH	3.48%	0	1.85%	0	0	0

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